A few years after I graduated from high school, my school started doing mock elections. Since 1988 their mock election has accurately chosen the eventual winner. VOTES 2004 was today, and the winner was... John Kerry! Let's hope their record of success continues.
It's a pretty interesting setup. From the web page:
Two schools from each state participate in the highlight of the month-long project—a mock election at which a winner is declared just days before the general election. The VOTES election is unique in that it simulates the electoral college process of selecting a candidate: the winner must earn at least 270 out of 538 electoral votes.
And here is the breakdown of the results:
Candidate
John Kerry
George Bush
Ralph Nader
David Cobb
Michael Badnarik
Michael Peroutka
OthersElectoral Votes
326
212
0
0
0
0
0Popular Votes
26,920
22,771
2,253
758
572
230
56Percentage
50.20%
42.50%
4.40%
1.40%
1.00%
0.40%
0.10%Voter Turnout 70%
Pretty cool I must say. I can't wait to see how accurate it is this year.
